Today's Panic and Greed Index is 50, with a neutral rating. Notes: The Panic Index threshold is 0-100 and includes indicators: volatility (25%) + market volume (25%) + social media popularity (15%) + market research (15%) + Bitcoin's share in the overall market (10%) + Google hot word analysis (10%).
Golden Ten Futures Special New Lake Futures Comments: At noon today, the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) released the official supply and demand data of horse palm in December. The data shows that the production of Malay wool palm in December was 1.487 million tons, a decrease of 8.3% month-on-month, in line with market expectations. Exports 1.342 million tons, a decrease of 10% month-on-month. Previously, the agency estimated that exports would decrease by 7% month-on-month, and the actual expo...
Federal Reserve officials are taking a "neutral" policy stance, pointing to strong economic performance and waiting for more clarity on Donald Trump's policies. "I expect the coming months to provide clarity on the incoming administration's policies and the continuation of inflationary pressures in 2024," Fed Governor Michelle W. Bowman said in a speech in California on Jan. 9. Bowman's speech and Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff...
On December 7, Federal Reserve Goolsby said that the state of the U.S. economy will determine the pace at which the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in the future, but he added that he hopes the Fed will be able to find a point to stop rate cuts by the end of next year. "I hope the situation continues to develop so that we can get closer to the range of neutral policy," Goolsby said. While he did not specify his estimate for the neutral rate, he said it is around 3% (well below the curren...
Powell said the Fed will gradually move towards a more neutral interest rate over time, and although downside risks are lower than expected, the Fed can remain cautious in its search for a neutral rate. U.S. inflation is not yet on target, but it is still making progress. U.S. unemployment remains at very low levels. The September rate cut is a strong signal to support the labor market.
Federal Reserve Governor Paul Waller: There is still "a long way to go" in the process of lowering the policy rate to a neutral level, and rate cuts are expected to continue in the next year.
Mr. Kashkari said a rate cut in December was a reasonable consideration. The neutral rate could be higher and policy constraints less stringent. Geopolitical risks are the top consideration for the economic outlook. There was no comment on the Treasury nominee. The administration is needed to put the US on a sustainable fiscal path.
On November 16, the Federal Reserve Goolsbee said that we will consider interest rate cuts with reference to the Federal Reserve's September dot plot. Personally, I would prefer not to move straight towards the neutral rate, but to slow down when approaching the neutral rate. The neutral rate is significantly lower than the current level of the Federal Reserve's policy rate. Everything is always on the table in the Fed's policy calculus. He also said that the inflation data must continue to impr...
Federal Reserve Chairperson Jerome Powell: Policy will be gradually adjusted to a neutral level, but the policy path is not predetermined.
Barkin said the Fed would have to find its way to a neutral interest rate, depending on whether inflation stabilised. There may be more cost pressures in the future, and it is good to take a prudent approach.
Mr. Musallam said there could be scope for a gradual easing of policy towards neutral rates and that stronger data could be behind the rise in Treasury term premiums. Data since the last policy meeting suggest the economy could be much stronger than expected. Inflation data were equally strong but have yet to change the view that policy is moving in a neutral direction. The latest CPI data was "in line with expectations" but would prefer to see support on the three-month basis of the data...
Mr. Logan said there would be more rate cuts but uncertainty about the neutral level. The labour market has cooled but not substantially. The Fed has made "significant progress" in reducing inflation and rebalancing the economy.
Federal Reserve Chairperson Jerome Powell said that as interest rates approach neutral, it may be necessary to slow the pace of rate cuts.
JPMorgan analysts maintain a neutral rating on Coinbase stock and set a price target of $196 for December 2025, adding that Coinbase continues to execute on its long-term plans despite weaker-than-expected third-quarter results. JPMorgan analysts Kenneth B. Worthington, Michael Cho, Alexander Bernstein, and Madeline Daleiden wrote in a note on Friday: "Despite the weaker-than-expected overall results, Coinbase will continue to play a role in emerging areas of its business, and we continue to bel...
On October 18th, quantitative giant Magic Square Quantitative issued an announcement to investors on October 18th, saying that due to changes in the market environment, it is difficult for hedge series products to achieve profits and reduce risk exposure at the same time, the potential income-risk ratio has decreased significantly, and the future income will be significantly lower than investors' expectations. Considering the risk attributes of hedge products, the company will gradually reduce t...